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By Alan Beattie
5th November, 2001. A group of former finance ministers from
emerging market countries will today propose fundamental changes
to the global financial system, including an international bankruptcy
procedure for government borrowers.
Their report reflects a feeling that the current system places
emerging markets at the mercy of fickle capital flows, and that
- as in Argentina - there is no agreed procedure to get countries
out of trouble.
Domingo Cavallo, the Argentine finance minister struggling
to reschedule his country's Dollars 132bn (Pounds 90bn) of government
debt, was originally a member of the team that produced the report,
though he left when he took up his ministerial post.
The report from the "emerging markets eminent persons
group" - chaired by Il SaKong, former Korean finance minister,
with co-chairman Roberto Zahler, foreign president of the central
bank of Chile, Manmohan Singh, former Indian finance minister,
and Kwesi Botchwey of Ghana - says emerging market countries
have done a great deal to put their own houses in order.
But these actions - including stronger supervision of financial
institutions, better macroeconomic management and improved transparency,
"are not sufficient to provide an assurance of market stability",
the group said. "International action on a co-ordinated
basis is also required."
The report makes 33 recommendations for action, most of which
involve greater role for international co-ordination and controls
on private sector investors.
It calls for the International Monetary Fund and the Group
of Seven industrialised countries to support standstills on debt
payments to private creditors for countries in financial crisis.
In the longer term it suggests exploring an international
version of the US Chapter 11 bankruptcy procedures to allow orderly
restructuring of sovereign debt contracts. Some emerging market
countries, particularly in Latin America, have opposed such a
procedure, fearing investors would stop lending to them.
In an implicit critique of the "Washington consensus"
on free capital flows, the report says governments should be
allowed to place temporary restrictions to stop hot money destabilising
countries. And it calls for greater actions from the IMF and
World Bank in boosting liquidity when required and issuing guarantees
for emerging market countries borrowing in international capital
markets.
C. Fred Bergsten, director of the Institute for International
Economics in Washington and adviser to the report, said: "This
is a provocative report which attempts to push back the boundaries
of what is realistic. Recent events have increased the possibilities
for change on these issues,"
Since the end of the Asian crisis in 1997-8, a range of proposals
to promote greater financial stability have been proposed by
the Financial Stability Forum (FSF), a global grouping of central
banks, finance ministries and banking supervisors.
But Manuel Montes, programme officer at the Ford Foundation
which funded the group, says: "All the FSF reforms proposed
so far were aimed at the emerging economies themselves. It should
be clear that this is not enough." For more reports see
www.ft.com/globaleconomy |